BANNER_TAKE2.png
 
 

National Polling Leaders

*Last updated 8/17/19 12:08pm cdt

 
 
 
biden_2.png

29.4%

Joe Biden

7-day trend28.7%
bern_200.png

15.6%

Bernie Sanders

7-day trend15%
Warren_3.png

14.2%

Elizabeth Warren

7-day trend15.1%
KH_200.png

9.7%

Kamala Harris

7-day trend7.6%
pb.png

5.1%

Pete Buttigieg

7-day trend4.1%
 
 

Methodology: For national polls, we calculate each candidates weighted polling average over the prior 45 days. Polls are weighted using fivethirtyeight.com’s Pollster Rankings, which rank pollsters based on polling methodology and historical accuracy. We’ve chosen to exclude candidates who haven’t exceeded 1% over the most recent 45-day sample period.

 
 

State Polling

The Democratic presidential nomination elections officially start with the Iowa caucuses on February 3, 2020, followed by New Hampshire (2/11), Nevada (2/22), and South Carolina (2/29).

 

Iowa


Biden24%
Warren18%
Sanders15%
Buttigieg11%
Harris11%
Klobuchar3%

*most recent poll 8/11

 
 
 

New Hampshire


Sanders20%
Biden19%
Warren18%
Buttigieg10%
Harris10%
Gabbard3%

*most recent poll 8/6

 
 
 

Nevada


Biden33%
Warren20%
Sanders16%
Harris7%
Buttigieg7%

*most recent poll 8/8

 
 
 
 

South Carolina


Biden36%
Sanders13%
Harris12%
Warren12%
Buttigieg6%
Booker4%

*most recent poll 8/12

 
 

Methodology: For state polls, we calculate each candidate’s weighted polling average over approximately 45 days or prior eight polls. State polling is more limited than national, so we may pull from a longer sample period if a state has few polls. Polls are weighted using fivethirtyeight.com’s Pollster Rankings, which rank pollsters based on polling methodology and historical accuracy. We’ve chosen to exclude candidates who haven’t exceeded 3% over the most recent sample period.

 
 
 

Follow the Campaigns

(Click on a candidate to view their campaign’s site)