January 10, 2023

By Steve Jonas. MD, MPH

"In a 302-page transcript of his interview with the [January 6th] committee, Gen. Mark A. Milley, the voluble chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, . . . recalled seeing the Nazi imagery in the crowd on Jan. 6 and saying to his staff: 'These guys look like the brown shirts to me. This looks like a Reichstag moment.' "

Exactly two years ago today (Jan. 5, 2021) in this space I published a column entitled: "Will Trump Ignite His Reichstag Fire on January 6?" Especially given what continues to go on with Trump, with the MAGA movement, with what I call "The Republo-Fascist Party," and the ever-expanding universe of violent domestic-extremist groups (which of course goes well beyond the "Oath Keepers" and the "Proud Boys"), I thought that it would be useful to revisit those thoughts from that time, about what might transpire in Trump's Washington, if not the next day then soon enough.

And so, here is that column, in the indented text below, from that day. Added commentary of mine from today (Jan. 5, 2023) is bracketed [ ].

As is now well-known, the "Proud Boys" (who knows just what they are proud of) and assorted other Right-Wing Terrorist groups are planning major demonstrations in Washington, D.C., on and around January 6, 2021. At that time, according to the Constitution (a document with which they and various political figures associated with them, like Trump and various U.S. Trumpublican© Senators and Representatives, seem not to be familiar) the electoral votes cast for President, which were certified by the 50 respective states back in December, are to be formally counted.

[There were certainly concerns abroad about the count and how it would be handled. See Buzzflash's "Mike Pence Should Not Preside Over Electoral Ballot Count on January 6: He Has an Inextricable Conflict of Interest" about Pence's flagrantly conflicted role in the "ceremony." That column was presciently published on Jan. 3, 2021. Little did we know about how much plotting was going on at the highest levels of government for an attempt to substitute fake counts of electoral votes for the real ones.]

As Marisa Lang, a correspondent for The Washington Post, has said: "DC is becoming a protest battleground. In a polarized nation, experts say that's unlikely to change." Violence is being threatened. For example, from the Lang article: "Neo-Nazis took to Telegram, an encrypted chat app that allows users to broadcast to a channel of subscribers, to encourage followers to attend, saying they need 'boots on the ground' to intimidate lawmakers and push for a nationalist agenda." And then, whaddaya know, Trump is "thinking about" addressing an assemblage of these groups at the time which, under the Constitution and relevant law, Vice President Pence, as President of the Senate, is to begin opening the envelopes containing each state's certified electoral votes.

We can consider at another time the various Constitutional/legal and non-Constitutional challenges of Trumpist Senators and Representatives to the outcome of the election. [See especially Sens. Cruz and Hawley, who were coming up with some "Ten-Day-Delay" plan to send the reported electoral votes back to the states. That initiative of theirs seems to have gotten little attention since.] But the immediate issue here is what the "Proud Boys" et al, egged on by Trump, have been at least thinking about, in terms of some kind of violent protests around the Constitutional certification of the electoral vote.

[But now, let us turn to the "Reichstag Fire," an historical event to which both Gen. Milley and I were referring at the time.]

On January 30, 1933 Adolf Hitler had been appointed Chancellor of Germany by the Weimar Republic President, Paul von Hindenburg. Although his government was very good at such things rounding up his most vocal opponents and putting them in a new Nazi invention, the "concentration camps," and shutting down opposition newspapers, they were not very good at dealing with the nation's many social and economic problems. And so, in February Hitler conspired to partially burn down the German parliament building, the "Reichstag," immediately blaming the fire, and every other problem Germany faced, on the German Communist Party (a member of which was falsely blamed for the fire), and then demanded that in order to fix everything (including of course doing away with any opposition), Hitler needed to have dictatorial powers. To do that, the Weimar Constitution, under which Hitler was still ruling, would have to be changed. [For more detail of the Fire and the events surrounding it see an earlier column of mine.]

On March 23, 1933, in Berlin the Reichstag was called into session to consider a motion for changing the Weimar Constitution to in effect make Hitler Dictator for Life. That required a 2/3's vote of the Reichstag members. After having had expelled the Communist Party members, Hitler was still not certain that he could get that 2/3's. And so, when the vote came to the floor, the Nazis surrounded the chamber and the remaining Deputies with armed Sturm Abteilung (SA, "Storm") troopers in uniform. Guess what? Hitler got his necessary 2/3's majority. One wonders if Trump and his own Storm Troopers (different from the SA only in that they do not [yet] all wear the same uniform) has in mind something along these lines [emphasis added].

Hopefully, of course, this will not happen (although if it does one wonders just how many of the Trumpist members of Congress will protest against it). Hopefully, between the District Police and the Capitol Police, perhaps aided by the National Guards from Virginia and Maryland (the DC National Guard being under Trump's control) any violence can be put down quickly, without loss of life, and property damage can be held to a minimum (e.g., they will not attempt to burn down the Capitol building). But be prepared for rioting at some level (and the fascist forces are already telling us that they plan to have some agent provocateur members dress as "antifa" to make it appear that the fascists are battling somebody, not US Constitutional Democracy).

And so, in the end, after all the declaiming by the Congressional Trumpists, with Hawley and Cruz for sure trying to get to the head of the pack for the 2024 Trumpublican© Presidential nomination, after the possible violence by the self-proclaimed Trumpist Right-terrorists, [hopefully] on Jan. 20, at noon ET, Joe Biden will become President of the United States. And where will Trump be?

I have previously speculated that he will leave the country before that time, primarily to avoid all of the litigation he would be faced with after it. Now, I think that he will leave, but on a grand scale. After generating all the very loud noise about "election fraud," saying that "I was cheated, I have done so much for you, I will never be appreciated as I should be," he will go to a country which would be very happy to host the "US President in Exile" (that is until they got caught up in his grifting in a major way, but that's another story). Among the candidates for such an "honor" are: Brazil, Hungary, Poland, The Philippines, Belarus (with Putin's blessing), Paraguay, or perhaps one of the Gulf States.

Far-fetched? Perhaps. But who would ever have thought that a multi-failure businessman with no knowledge of how government works, little education, no inquisitiveness (although much acquisitiveness), an open racist and not-at-all shy about it, and no previous government experience, could become President of the United States.

Addendum, Jan. 5, 2021. A) Trump has asked Pence to simply ignore the reported/certified electoral votes, when the formal Electoral Vote reporting session opens in the Congress on Jan. 6, 2021. Pence apparently will not be doing that, but through a spokesman he has said (same ref.): " 'Vice President Pence shares the concerns of millions of Americans about voter fraud and irregularities in the last election,' said Pence's chief of staff Marc Short in a statement over the weekend. 'The vice president welcomes the efforts of members of the House and Senate to use the authority they have under the law to raise objections and bring forward evidence before the Congress and the American people on January 6th.' " Apparently, the concerns of those millions of Americans who made Joe Biden President-Elect (winning both the popular vote, and more importantly the Electoral College, by substantial margins) are not Pence's concern. And they certainly aren't Trump's.

And of course, the Trumpite Republo-fascists, led by Cruz and Hawley, would, if they could (but they can't) push through a "voting-review" mechanism that is supported neither anywhere in the law and more importantly nowhere in those sections of the Constitution and subsequent Federal law that governs Presidential elections. But then again, fascism doesn't bother with either Constitutions or the laws written pursuant to it.

Further, numbers of observers are now talking about sedition and Trump in the same sentence. Here's one definition of sedition (legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/sedition):

"A revolt or an incitement to revolt against established authority, usually in the form of Treason or Defamation against government. Sedition is the crime of revolting or inciting revolt against government [emphasis added]."

By the way, in the U.S. "treason" (also now being used by some observers in reference to Trump) as defined in the Constitution, applies only to acts taken against the government in league with a foreign power: Article III, Section 3: "Treason against the United States, shall consist only in levying War against them, or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them Aid and Comfort."

An earlier version of this column (that is, the original which was published in 2021) was published at: Foreseen on BuzzFlash, Will Trump Ignite His Reichstag Fire on January 6? Yes. Steve Jonas on BuzzFlash — BuzzFlash

Postscript (1-6-21): And lo and behold, what did we have today? The President of the United States, without saying so in so many words, actually encouraging his followers to do what they did, to the Capitol and the Congress. Some would call it, at a minimum, incitement to riot. Others would call it sedition (see the definition above). It remains to be seen what the newly minted U.S. Attorney General, Judge Merrick Garland, will do about it, if anything.

Final note, Jan. 5, 2023.  And now, my friends, coming back to today, those were some thoughts that both myself (at length) and Gen. Milley (briefly) held on Jan. 5, 2021, about what might happen on what turned out to be that most fateful/awful day --- Jan. 6, 2021.

Note: The current full column above was first published at OpEdNews.

Steven Jonas, MD, MPH, MS is a Professor Emeritus of Preventive Medicine at StonyBrookMedicine (NY) and author/co-author/editor/co-editor of over 35 books.  In addition to his position on OpEdNews.com  as a “Trusted Author,” he is a regular contributor to BuzzFlash.com.  His own political website, stevenjonaspolitics.com, is an archive of the 1000 or so political columns he has published since 2004, with the current columns being added to it as they appear.  He was also a career triathlete, 36 seasons, 256 multi-sport races, and writer on the sport (books and articles).  He now is officially retired from racing.

Among Dr. Jonas’ books of note on political science and history are: Ending the ‘Drug War’; Solving the Drug Problem: The Public Health Approach, Brewster, NY: Punto Press Publishing, (Brewster, NY, 2016, available on Kindle from Amazon, and also in hardcover from Amazon);  a “future history” of the United States (originally published in 1996) entitled The 15% Solution: How the Republican Religious Right Took Control of the U.S., 1981-2022  (Third Version published by Trepper & Katz Impact Books, Punto Press Publishing, 2013, Brewster, NY, and available on Amazon).

His most recent book-set is Trump's Presidential Years: As They Happened, 2015-2021.  It is in six volumes, consisting of the 191 columns Dr. Jonas published on Trump, primarily on OpEdNews.com and BuzzFlash.com, from “Hair Trump or Herr Trump?” (10-6-15) to “Xenophobia and Racism: They're in the Republican Party's DNA” (3-19-21).  The six volumes are each available separately on Kindle (2022), under “Trump’s Presidential Years: As they happened, 2015-2021.”

Dr. Jonas has a blind-copy distribution list for his columns.  If you would like to be added to it, please send him an email at sjtpj@aol.com.